Do penalty ratios predict disaster recurrence? Evidence from 25 environmental failures

By Bael Jordan
Backed by Carole Zoom, BillyP, Cushla Thompson, Jessica McGeary, Kate, Estefania Elorriaga, Susanne Jul, Steve Erickson, and David Lang
Honolulu, Hawaii
Political Science
$605
Raised of $1,200 Goal
51%
Ended on 8/25/26
Campaign Ended
  • $605
    pledged
  • 51%
    funded
  • Finished
    on 8/25/26

Lab Notes

Tags:

Governance systemsdata normalisationdata cleaningprocess explanationdata filteringCompliancedisaster dataplane crashgovernance failures
Collapses and patterns by country, year, and type
August 4, 2026
  • 1
  • 1
  • 227
Air disasters and the multilayered governance of even 1...
July 24, 2026
  • 0
  • 1
  • 1603
Structural Invisibility in Global Disaster Data: Five...
July 19, 2026
  • 0
  • 1
  • 16
Preliminary Sample
July 13, 2026
  • 1
  • 1
  • 19
In preparation to narrow the list of disasters, identify...
July 5, 2026
  • 3
  • 1
  • 1762
Data preparation and foundations
July 2, 2026
  • 1
  • 0
  • 1740